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2003 Research Conference

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2003 Research Conference

Resources and Proceedings

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KEYNOTE - There and Back Again: Demographic Survey Sampling in the 21st Century
SPEAKER - Colm O’Muircheartaigh (NORC, University of Chicago)



MONDAY AM

CONCURRENT SESSION II-A
DISCLOSURE (SESSION 1)

Research into the Possibility of Releasing Hierarchical Public Use Microdata Files for the Canadian Census of Population

Jean-René Boudreau and Rossana Manriquez (Statistics Canada)

Procedures to Reduce the Risk of Respondent Disclosure in a Public-Use Data File: The National Immunization Survey

Meena Khare (National Center for Health Statistics, USA)
Michael Battaglia and David Hoaglin (Abt Associates Inc., USA)

Applying Disclosure Control to Temporal Data

Anna Manning and Mark Elliot (University of Manchester, United Kingdom)

CONCURRENT SESSION II-B
MODELING 1 – SIMULATION

Bayesian Analysis of Nonignorable Missing Categorical Data: An Application to Bone Mineral Density and Family Income

Balgobin Nandram (Worcester Polytechnic Institute, USA)
Jai Won Choi and Lawrence Cox (National Center for Health Statistics, USA)

Imitating the Salamander: Reproduction of the Truncated Right Tail of an Income Distribution

John Angle (Economic Research Service, USA)

A Computational Routine for Disaggregating Industry Margin Data to Estimate Product Margin Rates

Matthew Atkinson (Bureau of Economic Analysis, USA)

Comparison of Model Based Methods for County Level Estimation of Crop Yields

Michael Bellow (National Agricultural Statistics Service, USA)

CONCURRENT SESSION II-C
EVALUATING THE QUALITY AND VALIDITY OF COGNITIVE INTERVIEWING

Inside the Black Box: Analysis of Interviewer-Respondent Interactions in Cognitive Interviews

Nadra Garas (American University, USA)
Johnny Blair (Abt Associates Inc., USA)
Frederick Conrad (University of Michigan, USA)

A Framework Relating Questionnaire Design-and-Evaluation Processes to Sources of Measurement Error

James Esposito (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

MONDAY PM

CONCURRENT SESSION III-A
DISCLOSURE (SESSION 2)

Waivers in Business Surveys: A Systematic Approach to Increase the Amount of Publishable Information

Jean-Sébastien Provençal and Hélène Bérard (Statistics Canada)

Using CART to Generate Partially Synthetic, Public Use Microdata

Jerome Reiter (Duke University, USA)

CONCURRENT SESSION III-B
EVALUATION OF HEALTH AND DRUG USE ISSUES

Measuring Reduction in Disparity Among Several Rates

Jeffrey Pearcy and Kenneth Keppel (National Center for Health Statistics, USA)

Innovative Design and Analysis Strategies in the Evaluation of The National Youth Anti-Drug Media Campaign: Propensity Scores and Counterfactual Projection Weights in a National Probability Survey

Robert Orwin, David Judkins, Paul Zador, Sanjeev Sridharan (Westat, USA)
Robert Hornik (University of Pennsylvania, USA)
Bob Baskin (AHRQ)

Methods for Capture-Recapture Analysis When Cases May Not Be Identified Uniquely

Betsy L. Cadwell, Philip J. Smith and Andrew L. Baughman (Center for Disease Control and Prevention)

SESSION III-C
SMALL AREA ESTIMATION</p>

Methods Used for Small Domain Estimation of Census Net Undercoverage in the 2001 Canadian Census

Peter Dick and Yong You (Statistics Canada)

Evaluation of the Practical Utility of Small Domain Estimators for the U.S. Current Employment Statistics Program

John Eltinge and Moon Jung Cho (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA )

Assessing Fit of SAIPE Models to Census and CPS County Child-poverty Rates

Eric Slud (U.S. Census Bureau and University of Maryland, USA)

On Small Area Estimation Under Informative Sampling

Danny Pfefferman (Hebrew University, Israel and University of Southampton,
United Kingdom)
Michael Sverchkov (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

SESSION IV-A
METHODS OF RECORD LINKAGE

An Infrastructure for Supporting Spatial Data Integration

Les Miller and Sarah Nusser (Iowa State, USA)

Record Linkage in An Integrated Census

Theodor Yitzkov and Harry Azaria (Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel)

Removing Duplication from the 2002 Census of Agriculture

Kara Daniel and Tom Pordugal (National Agricultural Statistics Service, USA)

SESSION IV-B
MODELING 2 – REGRESSION APPLICATIONS

Steps Toward Modeling the Distribution of Automobile Retirements

Brian Sliker (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis)

Measuring Defined Benefit Plan Replacement Rates Using PenSync

James Moore (Social Security Administration, USA)

Estimating the Lives Saved by Seat Belts and Air Bags

Donna Glassbrenner (National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, USA)

A Method of Estimating Rollover Propensity for Passenger Vehicles

Ellen Hertz (National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, USA)

SESSION IV-C
SURVEY DESIGN

DATELINE: Design and Application of a Travel Survey for Long-Distance Trips Based on an International Network of Expertise

Werner Broeg, Erhard Erl, and Brian Schulze (Socialdata, Germany)

Re-designing the UK’s Annual Structural Earnings Survey

Mark Pont (Office for National Statistics, United Kingdom)

The Use of Permanent Random Numbers in a Multi-Product Petroleum Sales Survey: Twenty Years of a Developing Design

Pedro Saavedra (ORC Macro, USA)
Paula Weir (Energy Information Administration, USA)

TUESDAY AM

SESSION V-A
LINGUISTIC AND CULTURAL ISSUES IN SURVEY AND QUESTIONNAIRE DESIGN

The Role of Sociolinguistics in Federal Survey Development

Yuling Pan (U.S. Census Bureau)

The American Community Survey en Espanol: Results of Cognitive Interviews Using the ACS Spanish Language Instrument

Lorena Carrasco (U.S. Census Bureau)

An Overview of A Proposed Census Bureau Guideline for the Translation of Data Collection Instruments and Supporting Materials

Manuel de la Puente and Yuling Pan (U.S. Census Bureau)
Deborah Rose (National Center for Health Statistics)

Guideline Implementation: Translating a New Canadian/U.S. Health Survey into Spanish

Deborah Rose (National Center for Health Statistics, USA)
Manuel de la Puente (U.S. Census Bureau)

SESSION V-B
EVALUATION OF CENSUS FRAME DEFICIENCIES

Census Duplication and Ambiguities of Census Residence

Elizabeth Martin, Robert Fay, and Elizabeth Krejsa (U.S. Census Bureau)

Census and Administrative Records Duplication Study

Mary Mulry, Susanne Bean, D. Mark Bauder, Deborah Wagner, Thomas Mule, and Rita Petroni (U.S. Census Bureau)

A Bayesian Approach to 2000 Census Evaluation Using A.C.E. Survey Data and Demographic Analysis

Michael Elliott (University of Pennsylvania, USA)
Roderick Little (University of Michigan, USA)

Developing a Coverage Adjustment Strategy for the 2002 Census of Agriculture

Matthew Fetter and Phillip Kott (National Agricultural Statistics Service, USA)

SESSION VI-A
WEB-BASED DATA COLLECTION: DEVELOPMENT AND USABILITY ISSUES

Determinants of Web Reporting: A Qualitative Study of the Response Process, Response Burden and Mode Selection

Tony Hak, Amy Anderson, and Diane Willimack (U.S. Census Bureau)

Design Issues in Web-Based Electronic Business Surveys

Elizabeth Nichols, Elizabeth Murphy (U.S. Census Bureau)

Cyntrica Eaton, Kent Norman, Anna Rivadeneira, and Cyntrica Eaton (University of Maryland, USA)

Usability Issues Associated with Converting Establishment Surveys to Web-Based Data Collection

Jean Fox, William Mockovak, Sylvia Fisher, and Christine Rho (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

Conceptual and Practical Issues in the Statistical Design and Analysis of Usability Tests

John Bosley, John Eltinge, Jean Fox, and Scott Fricker (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

SESSION VI-B
ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS I

Wholistic Approach to Multifaceted Integrated Census

Olivia Blum (Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel)

Statistical Use of Administrative Records: A Real Time Evaluation of Labour Demand Businesses

Manlio Calzaroni and Roberta Rizzi (Institute of National Statistics(ISTAT), Italy)

Use of Tax Data for Replacing Business Survey Data – The Data Quality Issue

Sanping Chen, Paul Cascagnette, and Sean Crowe (Statistics Canada)

An Assessment of the Current Population Survey and the Survey of Income and Program Participation Using Social Security Administrative Data

Melissa Koenig (Social Security Administration, USA)

SESSION VI-C
LONGITUDINAL DATA ANALYSIS

Linearization Variance Estimators for Panel Survey Data

Abdellatif Demnati (Statistics Canada)
J.N.K. Rao (Carleton University, Canada)

Pre-adjustment in X-12-ARIMA

Luisa Burck (Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel)

Effects of Transformation Choice on Seasonal Adjustment Diagnostics and Forecast Errors

Golam Farooque (U.S. Census Bureau)

Time Series Decomposition and Measurement of Business Cycles, Trends and Growth Cycles

Victor Zarnowitz and Ataman Ozyildirim (The Conference Board, USA)

TECHNICAL DEMONSTRATIONS

Design and Evaluation of Aquatic Ecosystems via Discrete Event Simulation

Jorge Romeu (Syracuse University, USA)

Making Sense of Census Data via the World Wide Web: A Case Study Using the 1997 Census of Agriculture

Irwin Anolik (National Agricultural Statistics Service)

The NASS Question Repository System

Daniel Beckler (National Agricultural Statistics Service)

Bayesian Record Linkage and Linkage Imputation Using CODES2000 and LINKSOLV Software

Michael H. McGlincy (Strategic Matching, Inc.)

Cognitive Tested Question Database

Kristen Miller, Paul Beatty, and Beth Canfield (National Center for Health Statistics)

Developing an Analysis System for Agricultural Surveys and Censuses

Arnie Wilcox and Robert Hood (National Agricultural Statistics Service)

A Less Intrusive Variant on Cell Suppression to Protect the Confidentiality of Business Statistics

Gordon Sande (Sande & Associates, Inc.)

TUESDAY PM

CONCURRENT SESSION VII-A
MEASURING AND REPORTING SURVEY QUALITY MEASURES

Quality at the Item Level Terms, Methods, and Guidelines for Cross-Survey Comparisons, A Summary

John Dixon (Bureau of Labor Statistics)
Pat Doyle, Judy Eargle, Deborah Griffin, and Pamel McGovern (U.S. Census Bureau)

Measuring Response Errors in Censuses and Surveys Through Reinterview Data Having a Different Measurement Error Variance

Piero Demetrio Falorsi, Alessandro Pallara (Italian National Statistical Institute (ISTAT), Italy)
and Aldo Russo (University of Rome, Italy)

Standards and Guidelines for Reporting on Coverage

Martin Provost (Statistics Canada)

CONCURRENT SESSION VII-B
ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS II

The Use of Administrative Data to Compute Measure of Size for New Employer Births

Lora Gillott, James Burton, and Carol King (U.S. Census Bureau)

Exploring Social Security Payment History Matched with the Survey of Income and Program Participation

James Sears and Kalman Rupp (Social Security Administration, USA)

Use of Medicaid and Medicare Administrative Claims Data in Litigation and Regulation

Timothy Wyant (Decipher, Inc., USA)
Stephen Parente (University of Minnesota)

CONCURRENT SESSION VII-C
ECONOMIC INDICATORS

A More Timely and Useful Index of Leading Indicators

Robert McGuckin, Ataman Ozyildirim, and Victor Zarnowitz (The Conference Board, USA)

Output and Productivity Measurement for Non-market Activity: The Case of Italian Revenue Agency

Marco Cutaia and Stefano Pisani (Italian Revenue Agency, Italy)

Composite Predictions of Yield for Agricultural Commodities

Timothy Keller and William Wigton (National Agricultural Statistics Service, USA)

WEDNESDAY ALL SESSIONS

CONCURRENT SESSION VIII-A
EVALUATION OF THE DATA QUALITY IMPACT OF SURVEY AND DISSEMINATION PROCESSES

Evaluation of U.S. EPA’s Screener Questionnaire for the Aquatic Animal Production Industry and Comparison to USDA Data

Marla Smith and Marta Jordan (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency)

Data Capture Using Fax and Intelligent Character and Optical Character Recognition (ICR/OCR) in the Current Employment Statistics Survey (CES)

Richard Rosen, Vinod Kapani, and Patrick Clancy (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

Cognitive Testing of Statistical Graphs: Methodology and Results

Colleen Blessing, Howard Bradsher-Fredrick, Herb Miller, Renee Miller, and Robert Rutchik (Energy Information Agency, USA)

Partials and Break-offs in the National Health Interview Survey, 2002

Barbara J. Stussman, Beth L. Taylor, and Howard Riddick (National Center for Health Statistics)

CONCURRENT SESSION VIII-B
IMPUTATION

Imputation Methods on Longitudinal Studies

Yann-Yann Shieh (American Institutes for Research, USA)

Developing Imputation Models for the Services Sectors Portion of the Economic Census

Katherine Thompson and Quatracia Williams (U.S. Census Bureau)

Multiple Imputation of Missing Blood Alcohol Concentration (BAC) Values in FARS

Rajesh Subramanian and Dennis Utter (National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, USA)

Exploitation of Neural Methods for Imputation

Pasi Piela (Statistics Finland)

CONCURRENT SESSION VIII-C
METADATA AND DATA MINING

Identification of Driver and Vehicle Characteristics through Data Mining the Highway Crash Data

Santokh Singh (National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, USA)

Designing Data Collection, Processing and Dissemination Instruments with Reusable Metadata for the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2002 Economic Census Initiative, Using XML and Web Services

Steven Schafer and Roy Rogers, IV (Fenestra Technologies Corporation, USA)

CONCURRENT SESSION IX-A
NONRESPONSE AND SURVEY QUALITY

New Tools at Statistics Canada to Measure and Evaluate the Impact of Nonresponse and Imputation

Jean-François Beaumont, David Haziza, Charles Mitchell,
and Eric Rancourt (Statistics Canada)

Nonresponse Adjustment in the Current Employment Statistics Survey

Kennon Copeland (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

Multiple Imputation in Two Stages

Ofer Hareland Joseph Schafer (Pennsylvania State, USA)

CONCURRENT SESSION IX-B
SAMPLE DESIGN

Sampling Racially Matched Population Controls for Case-Control Studies: Using Geocoding of Address List Frames to Establish Strata for Oversampling Minorities

Ralph DiGaetano, Jacqueline Severynse (Westat, USA)
Barry Graubard, Sowmya Rao, and Shalom Wacholder (National Cancer Institute, USA)

Aspects of Sample Allocation in Business Surveys

Gareth James, Mark Pont, and Markus Sova (Office for National Statistics, United Kingdom)

A Sampling Strategy for Rear-End Pre-Crash Data Collection

Santokh Singh (National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, USA)

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